Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 15.655784 18.243637 21.077500 24.404572 28.196862 32.377735 37.328868
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.201780 14.668991 18.867106 24.292631 31.083414 39.263838 49.822022
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.478770 12.197983 17.076397 23.872654 33.012045 44.781695 60.972776
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.588009 10.277461 15.458561 23.146248 34.116696 49.034670 70.638345
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.434121 9.101547 14.566443 23.126076 35.970864 54.252088 81.877500
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.612279 8.240027 13.942575 23.315575 38.018220 59.792150 93.929020
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.647320 6.956453 12.445316 21.910260 37.419153 61.294984 100.084140
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.268321 6.587064 12.345145 22.677025 40.223986 68.103893 114.721389
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.027743 6.417299 12.543121 23.934945 43.910392 76.548968 132.524717
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.564273 5.742939 11.748216 23.354886 44.415127 79.864114 142.310310
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.113226 5.007545 10.727899 22.222025 43.803443 81.217197 148.889876
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.992027 4.934007 10.956591 23.427257 47.465042 90.085756 168.739109
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.914824 4.963646 11.433304 25.244829 52.581694 102.159068 195.502883
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.682354 4.603571 11.071264 25.381645 54.593117 108.973717 213.753258
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.442358 4.174491 10.493529 24.994895 55.535374 113.905841 229.003658
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.215537 3.725986 9.795827 24.247597 55.649851 117.258176 241.551012
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.068772 3.453063 9.455284 24.228533 57.240558 123.533230 260.014425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.954003 3.241732 9.226505 24.426534 59.296994 130.861705 280.999737
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.773987 2.796842 8.340542 22.961004 57.569600 130.451999 286.791991
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.719874 2.720764 8.392222 23.760731 60.964262 140.760990 314.648867
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.690658 2.717624 8.638286 25.072459 65.649712 154.095597 349.505916
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.593669 2.465732 8.157499 24.467627 65.800900 157.817899 364.813286
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.492189 2.168957 7.493881 23.286199 64.439679 158.142707 373.000268